Space Force Future Operating Environment Document Set for Release

Overview

At the Air, Space and Cyber Conference in National Harbor, Maryland, Chief of Space Operations Gen. Chance Saltzman announced plans for a forthcoming Space Force planning document aimed at identifying future adversarial trends and technological advancements up to 2040. The document, titled “The Future Operating Environment,” will serve as a strategic framework for acquisition priorities and operational exercises within the Space Force.

Objectives of the New Document

1. Framework for Acquisition and Operations
   This planning document is designed to guide officials in determining what key technologies the Space Force should procure from defense contractors. It will also inform future exercises, war games, and simulations, encapsulating insights on emerging threats and capabilities.

2. Timeframe and Update Plan
   Saltzman emphasized the need for a comprehensive approach given the rapid evolution of the space domain. The document is scheduled for release by the end of the year, with plans for revisions every five years to remain relevant.

Trends in Space Threats

As tracking counter-space threats has become increasingly critical, the document aims to address several emerging challenges:

• GPS Jamming in Conflict Zones: Reports indicate that adversaries, particularly in areas like the Middle East and near Russia, are engaged in electronic warfare, disrupting GPS signals that are vital for military and civilian operations.

• China’s Enhanced Satellite Maneuverability: The capabilities demonstrated by Chinese satellite systems have raised concerns regarding their strategic intentions and the potential for space conflict.

• Nuclear Weapons Testing: Alarm around Russia’s ambitions to conduct nuclear weapon tests in space has intensified focus on the implications of such developments for U.S. military preparedness.

Operational Implications

Saltzman stated, “Recent events in Ukraine illustrate the ramifications of losing our competitive edge in space.” He noted that:

• Command and Control Challenges: Leaders could find it increasingly difficult to manage military operations without reliable space-based communications.

• Civilian Infrastructure Vulnerability: The widespread jamming of GPS systems could undermine essential services, pushing society back to less advanced operational modes.

Acquisition Challenges

Despite the urgency in acquiring new technologies, challenges remain:

• Pressure for Expedited Outcomes: As the Space Force approaches its sixth anniversary, the need for rapid development and procurement has never been more pressing.

• Barriers in the Acquisition Process: The current defense acquisition model, while offering some flexibility, can complicate the timely development of space-oriented initiatives.

Enhancements in Collaboration

In an effort to foster innovation, Saltzman introduced a rebranding of the Space Systems Command’s Front Door Initiative, now rebranded as the “Space Force Front Door.” This initiative is designed to:

• Encourage Broad Participation: It will facilitate the submission of ideas not just to the acquisitions command but across the entire Space Force and its broader mission.

• Benchmark Ideas Against Varied Needs: Concepts will be evaluated against requirements from various sectors, including other governmental agencies and allied partners.

Future Training Initiatives

Saltzman expressed interest in developing a “live aggressor force,” which would enable Guardians to practice defending training satellites against real-time simulated attacks, shifting from conventional virtual exercises to more realistic operational scenarios.

Accessibility of the Document

Saltzman is optimistic about making this operational planning document accessible to the public, stating, “I hope there will be both unclassified and classified versions available.” This approach aims to ensure that essential information reaches the appropriate decision-makers effectively.

Final Thoughts

The developing landscape of space operations necessitates a proactive and informed strategy. Saltzman’s foresight in recognizing technological trends and adversarial methods is critical to adapting the U.S. Space Force’s approaches in an increasingly complex and contested realm. The forthcoming document promises to serve as a pivotal guide for both current operations and long-term strategic planning.